538’s Nate Silver on whether Donald Trump is performing well with Hispanic voters. This Week, ABC News The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
Trump sees a boost with Latino voters. What is Biden doing about it?
Facing uproar over numbers showing President Donald Trump is making headway with Florida Latino voters, the Joe Biden campaign said it has been polling and targeting Hispanics more than any previous presidential campaigns in its race to contain Republican gains. Matt Barreto, who took a break from the Latino Decisions […] Read more »
Biden’s troubles with Black and Latino voters are overstated
After the 2016 election, when Hillary Clinton lost White voters by 15 points, it seemed as if Democrats might need to accept their losses and rely more on minority voters for their next majority. But the opposite has happened. In recent polls, Joe Biden has held President Trump to a […] Read more »
Electoral College Rating Changes: Florida and Nevada Shift Right
Today we are making two ratings changes in Pres. Trump’s favor, moving Florida from Lean Democrat to Toss Up, and Nevada from Likely Democrat to Lean Democrat. Biden’s Electoral College lead has narrowed to 279 to 187 for Trump. Earlier this summer, Biden held a 308 to 187 lead. CONT. […] Read more »
Perceptions of White-Black Relations Sink to New Low
Americans’ already tepid review of relations between White and Black Americans has soured since 2018 and is now the most negative of any year in Gallup’s trend since 2001. The majority of U.S. adults say relations between White and Black Americans are very (24%) or somewhat bad (31%), while less […] Read more »
Ethnic antagonism erodes Republicans’ commitment to democracy
Growing partisan polarization and democratic “backsliding” in various parts of the world have raised concerns about the attachment of ordinary Americans to democratic institutions and procedures. I find that substantial numbers of Republicans endorse statements contemplating violations of key democratic norms, including respect for the law and for the outcomes […] Read more »