Identified as a “Latino Influence” state due to having a large and growing Latino electorate with an otherwise competitive electorate, Florida’s prized electoral voters hinged largely on how Latinos would vote in 2012. In the weeks immediately before the 2012 election, there was a great deal of speculation about whether […] Read more »
The Role of the Rising American Electorate in the 2012 Election
Barack Obama won because he recognized a New America. The President managed only 39 percent of the white vote, the lowest white percentage recorded for a winning national candidate, and suffered a 12-point swing against him among independent voters, but won both the popular vote and an Electoral College landslide […] Read more »
Three Keys From the Exit Polls
Given the demographics of the 2008 and 2012 elections, the Republican Party is in danger of becoming the “Win In Off Years Only Party” unless we make a full-throated improvement with Hispanic voters. And, we have to admit it is us, not them. [cont.] Glen Bolger, Public Opinion Strategies Read more »
The Party Next Time
When historians look back on Mitt Romney’s bid for the Presidency, one trend will be clear: no Republican candidate ever ran a similar campaign again. … Last Tuesday, Romney won three-fifths of the white vote, matching or exceeding what several winning Presidential candidates, including Reagan in 1980 and Bush in […] Read more »
Why Republicans’ position on immigration is a political loser
Widespread Hispanic support for Democrats on Tuesday, together with the inexorable shifts in demographics seem to be an impetus for a review of the strategic direction of the Republican Party. For immigration reform, the policy reevaluation appears to be happening in real time. After all, the national exit poll showed […] Read more »
Obama wins 75% of Latino vote, marks historic Latino influence in presidential election
… Latino support for President Obama was huge, with a record-breaking 75% of Latino voters nationwide (see below) casting their ballot for the President- the previous high for Latino voters was the 72% for Bill Clinton in 1996. Romney’s share of 23% was nowhere near the 38% his team identified […] Read more »