Obama Effect Likely Negative in Key Senate Races

In an election in which President Barack Obama’s mediocre approval ratings have cast a shadow on Democrats’ efforts to maintain their slim Senate majority, his image has remained generally weak in six states featuring competitive races. This includes sub-40% approval ratings over the last several months in Iowa (38%), Kansas […] Read more »

Fox News Poll: 1-point margin in Iowa, Kansas and North Carolina Senate races

“It all comes down to turnout.” That’s one of the biggest clichés in politics. It’s also true in one-point races. Welcome to Iowa, Kansas and North Carolina. According to the latest round of Fox News Senate battleground polls, none of the front-runners in those states hits the 50 percent mark. […] Read more »

Voters Expect Republican Wins, in Kansas and Elsewhere

Polls typically ask people which candidate they want to win. But some researchers have come to believe that another question — which candidate they expect to win — produces more meaningful results. When people are asked about their expectations, some may actually give more honest answers about their own voting […] Read more »