The fallout from the Supreme Court’s 2022 Dobbs decision continued last week in Ohio where voters defeated a plan that would have made it more difficult to change the state constitution, with an amendment aimed at securing abortion rights on the ballot this fall. For years abortion has been thought […] Read more »
How abortion changes election maps
A Wisconsin election set the stage last week for Democrats to act on a range of issues in the state, from gerrymandering to election access — but the biggest driving force behind the result was abortion. Abortion has been illegal in Wisconsin since the U.S. Supreme Court overturned Roe v. […] Read more »
‘THE central issue’: How the fall of Roe v. Wade shook the 2022 election
… On Election Day, voters in critical states like Michigan and Pennsylvania ranked abortion — not inflation or crime — as the most important issue in the midterms, according to exit polls. The red wave never arrived. Instead, Democrats gained a seat in the Senate and Republicans, badly underperforming expectations, […] Read more »
The 2022 Race for the House, in Four Districts, and Four Polls
President Biden is unpopular everywhere. Economic concerns are mounting. Abortion rights are popular but social issues are more often secondary. A new series of House polls by The New York Times and Siena College across four archetypal swing districts offers fresh evidence that Republicans are poised to retake Congress this […] Read more »
Women Are So Fired Up to Vote, I’ve Never Seen Anything Like It
… For many Americans, confronting the loss of abortion rights was different from anticipating it. In my 28 years analyzing elections, I’ve never seen anything like what’s happened in the past two months in American politics: Women are registering to vote in numbers I’ve never witnessed. I’ve run out of […] Read more »
Roe fell two months ago. Here’s how much it’s hurting the GOP.
Two months ago, the Supreme Court gave Republicans a once-in-a-generation victory in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization, ending the constitutional right to abortion. Pro-life Republicans rejoiced, and some red states immediately passed new restrictions on the procedure. The rejoicing might have been premature. Since Dobbs was handed down, nearly […] Read more »