Republicans planning to attend the Iowa caucuses are still sorting out their presidential preferences, but there’s one decision they’ve overwhelmingly made: Donald Trump is the most ego-driven in their party’s crowded field of candidates. CONT. John McCormick, Bloomberg Politics Read more »
Betting Markets Call Marco Rubio Front-Runner in G.O.P.
It’s official: Jeb Bush is no longer the leading contender to become the Republican candidate for president. Instead, prediction markets now rate Marco Rubio as far more likely to get the nod. One broad measure of the betting markets puts Mr. Rubio’s chances at 34 percent versus Mr. Bush’s at […] Read more »
Carson Surges Past Trump in Latest Bloomberg Politics/Des Moines Register Iowa Poll
Republican presidential candidate Ben Carson has moved into a dominant position in Iowa, surpassing former front-runner Donald Trump as evangelical Christians begin to coalesce around him in the state that will cast the first 2016 nomination ballots. CONT. John McCormick, Bloomberg Politics Read more »
The Passive Path to the Presidency
… The unexpected thing about the GOP nomination thus far isn’t the rise of the “outsiders” like Trump. This anti-establishment wing of the GOP has been a powerful force within the party for years. Instead, it’s the vacuum within the establishment wing that’s the more surprising. CONT. Amy Walter, Cook […] Read more »
Donald Trump Leads in Expectations, Shows Strength on Attributes
Donald Trump leads the Republican presidential field in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, not only in vote preferences but in expectations as well -– a remarkable feat for the non-politician who’s surprised the GOP establishment with his staying power as well as his support. CONT. Julie Phelan, ABC News Read more »
Inside GOP focus group, it’s outsiders who stand out
The dozen Republican voters gathered around a table in Indianapolis to talk politics Tuesday night knew what kind of presidential candidate they want in 2016: an outsider. … The Republican and Republican-leaning voters participated in one of a series of focus groups moderated by Democratic pollster Peter Hart and sponsored […] Read more »