The Fifth Republican Debate Ends In A Nine-Way Draw

The Republican debate in Las Vegas on Tuesday night had the feeling of a soccer match that ended in a nil-nil draw. It was a tactical and defensively minded affair, full of technically competent but predictable performances. The only candidates who broke form were those who didn’t have much to […] Read more »

In face of criticism, Trump surges to his biggest lead over the GOP field

Following his proposal to temporarily bar Muslims from entering the country, Donald Trump has increased his lead in the Republican primary to its largest margin yet, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. The results are the latest sign that Trump’s outspoken comments on immigration and terrorism continue to […] Read more »

State of election markets: An interesting shift within the non-establishment derby

The main outline of the GOP primary was stable this week; the establishment (Marco Rubio, Jeb Bush, and Chris Christie) is 60% to win and the non-establishment (Ted Cruz and Donald Trump) is 40%. But, there was an interesting shift within the non-establishment derby after Trump announced a proposed ban […] Read more »

New Poll May Show a Three-Way GOP Fight

The size and shape of the Republican presidential field is still shifting, but the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll suggests the remaining candidates are fighting to fill three GOP primary “lanes” – one for establishment supporters, one for social conservatives and one for the white working-class. CONT. Dante Chinni, […] Read more »

New Hampshire Will Weed Republican Field

The New Hampshire presidential primary vote usually breaks late. This time, not unusually, it will break a few candidates. … Voters can choose either party’s primary in New Hampshire, and knowledgeable Republicans suggest that a heavy influx of independents could help push a mainstream conservative to the top spot. There […] Read more »