One of the hardest things to do in politics is to keep your voters engaged and motivated to vote in the midterm elections after your party wins a presidential election. This is especially true if your party controls all three branches of government. In midterm years, only the most committed […] Read more »
Independents Are Boosting Biden
Watching President Biden’s approval (and disapproval) ratings in the polls lately is about as exciting as watching paint dry. In five Gallup polls since taking office, his approval has ranged only 3 points, from 54 percent to 57 percent (Gallup is the only polling organization with data spanning the post-World […] Read more »
Republicans Must Protect Their Brand Ahead of 2022
… Republican leaders and other elected officials in Washington and in many state capitals are projecting great confidence that this election will be a referendum on the incumbent president, rather than on their own actions. Granted, that is the norm, but it doesn’t seem as if many in the Republican […] Read more »
Biden’s approval & polling’s problems
With President Biden reaching the 100-day mark, pollsters are back on the prowl attempting to discern public reaction to his performance. Assessments appear contradictory. Slate told us “Biden’s 100-Day Approval Rating Is Better Than Trump’s, but Third-Worst Since Truman.” Not sounding very strong. NBC sounded a rather different note, “At […] Read more »
Independents will decide when Biden’s honeymoon is over
… Almost every president has begun his term basking in the afterglow of an election victory that, after the inauguration, becomes the traditional honeymoon period. A large majority of Americans usually gives a new president the benefit of the doubt and the time to show whether the many promises made […] Read more »
Polling data reveal a real opportunity for Democrats
… From our vantage point, the data plot line that is the most meaningful for Democrats, as we look ahead to big races in 2021 and the 2022 midterms, is the 6-point increase in independent affiliation from just a few months ago at the end of 2020. Today, 44 percent […] Read more »