… Simply put, it is all about nativism! Indeed, across all methods, the findings are incredibly consistent—those who support Trump are much more likely to hold strong nativist and anti-immigrant beliefs, controlling for other ideological and demographic variables. Most importantly, nativism is the most impactful driver of support for Trump. […] Read more »
The Anti-P.C. Vote
We know that resentment is driving much of Donald Trump’s success — resentment of elites, of the political class, of illegal immigrants, of protesters, of the media — and perhaps most particularly of changes in the demographic makeup of the country that Trump and his followers find unwelcome. Part of […] Read more »
The Real ‘Trump Effect’ for Young Latinos
… The disaffection and distrust evident in so much of the American electorate festers with special ferocity among young Latinos, the fastest growing segment of the American electorate. Looking at them we can see what this campaign is doing to all of us. The laws of physics, if not elections, […] Read more »
Public Uncertain, Divided Over America’s Place in the World
The public views America’s role in the world with considerable apprehension and concern. In fact, most Americans say it would be better if the U.S. just dealt with its own problems and let other countries deal with their own problems as best they can. With the United States facing an […] Read more »
On immigration and trade, it’s Republican elites, not Donald Trump, who are out of step with party’s voters
The enduring appeal of Donald Trump to Republican voters has confounded the Republican establishment. Yet Trump understands Republican voters far better than the GOP elite does, in part because he recognizes where established leaders are out of touch with base voters. In 2014, the Chicago Council on Global Affairs, an […] Read more »
2016 Latino Voters in Colorado, Florida, and Nevada
… While national data are helpful for understanding the broad contours of how immigration politics and policy are likely to matter next November, the uneven distribution of Latino voters across the states means that these effects can be either more-or-less pronounced depending upon the size of the Latino electorate and […] Read more »