… Richard Alba, a sociologist at the City University of New York, and other experts have argued that predictions of a white minority in a little over 20 years have created a false narrative because it fails to account for the numerous second- and third-generation children of interethnic and interracial […] Read more »
How White Evangelicals’ Vaccine Refusal Could Prolong the Pandemic
… The deeply held spiritual convictions or counterfactual arguments may vary. But across white evangelical America, reasons not to get vaccinated have spread as quickly as the virus that public health officials are hoping to overcome through herd immunity. The opposition is rooted in a mix of religious faith and […] Read more »
It’s anything but the economy, stupid
… Democrats are betting that trillions in economic spending, from an already passed stimulus and a proposed infrastructure and welfare bill, will deliver tangible benefits to Americans, who will in turn reward them in next year’s election. Republicans are betting on the primacy of cultural or social-policy concerns, from the […] Read more »
Parliamentary Voting Habits Aren’t Going Away
… Over the last 30 years, really since the beginning of Bill Clinton’s presidency, we have seen a consistent escalation of partisanship, and with it, nationalized elections. The smallest shifts result in the electorate swinging from one direction and party to the other with dramatic electoral consequences. Four consecutive presidents […] Read more »
Roosevelt. Johnson. Biden?
… It is pretty safe to say the reason Biden won the party nod is that once Bernie Sanders elbowed aside his colleague Elizabeth Warren and effectively consolidated the Left, panic set in among the centrists, and voilà: Doubts about Biden disappeared and the nomination was his, precisely because he […] Read more »
When and where America’s culture war was won
Even at their moments of maximum electoral influence — the presidencies of Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush, the first years of Donald Trump’s turbulent reign — conservatives often lament that they have won the political battle but lost the culture. They’re right. And Los Angeles during the early 1970s […] Read more »