Stacey Abrams, Andrew Gillum and the choices for Democrats in 2020

Stacey Abrams and Andrew Gillum represent case studies in the new politics of America and give voice to a discussion inside the Democratic Party about how to win the presidency in 2020. The questions are these: What kind of candidate and what kind of campaign would give Democrats the best […] Read more »

How Left Will Democrats Go in 2020?

There are fewer and fewer things that Democrats and Republicans can agree upon these days. Increasingly, however, both are coming to the conclusion that Democrats are going to nominate the most left-leaning, liberal candidate for president, giving Trump his best (maybe only) opportunity to win in 2020. … But, there’s […] Read more »

Democrats are right to be wary of Howard Schultz

The frenzy over businessman Howard Schultz’s announcement that he is considering an independent run for president is understandable. Democrats think President Donald Trump is headed for defeat in a one-on-one general election contest, and anything that changes that trajectory improves his re-election prospects. Unfortunately, few of the people who panicked […] Read more »

Politics & Global Warming, December 2018

Drawing on a nationally representative survey (N = 1,114; including 966 registered voters), this report describes how American registered voters — Republicans, Democrats, and Independents — view global warming, personal and collective action, and climate policies. … Nearly three in four registered voters (74%) think global warming is happening. This […] Read more »

Socially Liberal, Fiscally Conservative Voters Preferred Trump In 2016

The conventional wisdom is that a socially liberal, fiscally conservative independent presidential candidate — like, say, Howard Schultz, the former Starbucks CEO, who is considering just such a run — poses a threat to Democrats in 2020 by potentially dividing the anti-Trump vote. But there’s another possibility: that Schultz, or […] Read more »