As Americans continued to lean more Democratic than Republican in their party preferences in 2019, the ideological balance of the country remained center-right, with 37% of Americans, on average, identifying as conservative during the year, 35% as moderate and 24% as liberal. CONT. Lydia Saad, Gallup Read more »
The Religious Left is Small But Loud
… It’s easy to find activists, organizations, and vocal clergy to represent the religious left, but what we really need are estimates of population proportions. We have ample survey data for this task in the Cooperative Congressional Election Study series from 2006-2018, all of which have enormous samples (~50-65k) and […] Read more »
Which Group Represents the Political Views of the Average American—Nones or White Evangelicals?
… Two things I want to accomplish here. First, I wanted to see if two religious groups are as polarized as the parties. Second, I wanted to take it a step further and ask which of those two religious groups is closer to the average American. This exercise was helpful […] Read more »
How Democrats Can Win Back Obama-Trump Defectors
In the aftermath of Donald Trump’s 2016 election victory, analysts fiercely debated the role of the approximately six million voters who supported President Barack Obama in 2012 but shifted their support to Mr. Trump in 2016. Democratic strategists also had to worry about their future behavior: Was 2016 a temporary […] Read more »
President Launches ‘Evangelicals For Trump’ Coalition
President Trump has launched something he’s calling an “Evangelicals for Trump” coalition in support of his re-election. Tom Gjelten, All Things Considered, NPR News Read more »
Why Republicans will stick with Trump in 2020 — even if they don’t love his behavior
… The Republicans who make a living hating Trump today hated him before he was elected. The rest of the party remains solidly behind him. The reason for that, as we enter this election year, is less granular than feeling happy or sad about a specific presidential behavior. Rather, it […] Read more »