Biden leads, with Sanders, Warren, Buttigieg in tight race for second, CNN’s Iowa poll shows

Our new CNN/Des Moines Register/Mediacom’s new Iowa caucuses poll conducted by Selzer and Co. shows Joe Biden at 24%, Bernie Sanders at 16%, Elizabeth Warren at 15%, Pete Buttigieg at 14% and Kamala Harris at 7% among likely caucusgoers. It’s the first high quality Iowa poll conducted since Biden entered […] Read more »

How proposed Democratic caucus rules make polling even harder, and how we crafted our best shot

The Iowa caucuses are arguably the most difficult assignment for any pollster. That is because relatively few people attend them, and people can, and do, change their minds in the caucus room. … Next year, a lot will change. The Iowa Democratic Party is finalizing rules that will add a […] Read more »

Iowa Poll: Joe Biden leads, followed by Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren and Pete Buttigieg

The field of Democratic presidential candidates is starting to settle into tiers: Joe Biden leads the pack, and Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren and Pete Buttigieg are in close competition for second place, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom/CNN Iowa Poll shows. Twenty-four percent of Iowa’s likely Democratic caucusgoers say former vice […] Read more »

Iowa Poll: Biden leads a tighter top tier in first caucus state

Joe Biden leads as the top choice of likely participants in the first-in-the-nation Iowa Democratic caucuses, but his advantage there is smaller than the one he has held in recent national polling, even as just five candidates out of a field of 23 crack 5% support. A new CNN/Des Moines […] Read more »