Just nine days until Election Day, Democrat Hillary Clinton holds a six-point advantage over Republican Donald Trump in the battleground state of North Carolina, while the candidates are essentially deadlocked in Florida, according to two new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls. CONT. Mark Murray, NBC News Read more »
Latest Upshot Poll Shows Trump With a Lead in Florida
Donald J. Trump has slowly but surely improved his standing in state and national polls since the final presidential debate. A New York Times Upshot/Siena poll released Sunday is consistent with that trend: It gives Mr. Trump a four-point lead in Florida, 46 percent to 42 percent, in a four-way […] Read more »
Clinton and Trump Even in Latest Poll; Turnout Critical
A slim point separates Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll results, cementing Trump’s resurgence in the past week and marking the potentially critical role of turnout in the election’s outcome. CONT. Gary Langer, ABC News Read more »
Shift in the Electorate’s Makeup Tightens the Presidential Contest
It’s a tale of two electorates in the ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll, with shifts in intended turnout moving a large advantage for Hillary Clinton a week ago to a far tighter 2016 presidential race today. CONT. Gary Langer, ABC News Read more »
The Polling Conspiracy
Donald Trump’s supporters have taken up the claim that polls are rigged in favor of Hillary Clinton because they “oversample” Democrats. The charge is based on emails published by Wikileaks, in which the 2008 Clinton campaign considers oversampling Hispanic and Native American voters. Micah Cohen of FiveThirtyEight says the claim […] Read more »
Clinton’s Lead Narrows, Wider Majority Expects Her to Win
Presidential preferences have narrowed in the ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll — but not expectations of the outcome. Fifty-nine percent of likely voters polled say they expect Hillary Clinton to win the election, essentially the same was it was in early September. … Results on vote fraud show how this […] Read more »