… The conflict between a pro-free-trade presidential wing of the Democratic Party and an anti-free-trade congressional wing has the potential to become a permanent fixture of the center-left. The conflict gives expression to both the downscale forces in the party that lean against trade and the pro-trade upscale forces. At […] Read more »
Voters are shifting to Democrats, flashing a warning for Republicans
The Gallup organization reported its latest findings on party identification late last week, and the report contained good news for the Democrats and a flashing yellow for Republicans. The Democrats “have regained an advantage” over the GOP in party affiliation, Gallup’s Jeffrey M. Jones wrote in an accompanying analysis. Republicans, […] Read more »
Bush, Trump rising nationally for GOP, but both trail Clinton
With nearly all of the expected 2016 presidential candidates formally in the race, a new CNN/ORC national poll finds two recent entrants to the GOP field on the rise, while Hillary Clinton maintains her position atop the Democratic field, though holding a slightly slimmer lead. CONT. Jennifer Agiesta, CNN Read more »
For a Win in 2016, Depict Hillary as Obama’s Third Term
… Unlike 2010 and 2014, which were clearly referendums on President Obama, and 2012, which was a polarized battle to drive up turnout on each side, 2016 might not be a referendum on President Obama’s policies. It could be a choice between two different visions of the future. That would […] Read more »
Democrats Need to Give Voters a Reason to Participate
Democrats are well positioned leading into next year’s elections if they give their base, particularly unmarried women, a reason to turn out and vote. As this research demonstrates, the promise of an agenda that addresses the real economy of everyday Americans and—this is an equally important piece—also provides them with […] Read more »
Small Gains With Black Voters Could Boost GOP in 2016
When it comes to black voters, the Republican Party can’t do much worse than it has in the past two presidential elections: It won a paltry 4% of the black vote in 2008 and 6% in 2012. There’s a big upside for the GOP if it can do better: A […] Read more »