The Clinton campaign had one of its polling firms that specializes in the Latino vote assess the Nevada caucus results in an effort to rebut the claim by Senator Bernie Sanders that, though he lost overall, he won among Hispanics, a demographic that is crucial to the success of both […] Read more »
Core Groups Hold Steady for Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton
Donald J. Trump won the South Carolina Republican primary with a strong showing among his core supporters — men, moderate conservatives, those without college degrees and older voters. … Hillary Clinton patched together a winning coalition in the Nevada caucuses of women, older voters, African-Americans, college graduates and members of […] Read more »
What We Learned From Nevada and South Carolina
1) Hillary firewall holds; Bernie hits his ceiling Despite a last-minute surge of “Bern-mentum” and weakening support among Latinos, Hillary Clinton put up a strong showing at the Nevada caucuses on Saturday thanks in part to strong support from African-Americans and older voters. … 2) Trump wins big and is […] Read more »
Why Clinton, Not Sanders, Probably Won the Hispanic Vote in Nevada
One of Saturday’s biggest election surprises was the entrance and exit polling measuring Hispanic voters in the Nevada caucus. It found that Bernie Sanders defeated Hillary Clinton by eight percentage points among Hispanic voters, overturning months of conventional wisdom about Mrs. Clinton’s strength among nonwhites. But there are a lot […] Read more »
Bernie Sanders Makes Progress, But Hillary Clinton Remains The Favorite
The Democratic contest moved to a not-totally-white contest, and Hillary Clinton had her best showing yet. She won the Nevada caucuses by over 5 percentage points, with an electorate that was only 59 percent white. And while there are still some questions about how Latinos voted, Clinton can claim tremendous […] Read more »
Outsider Status Lifts Trump in SC; Clinton Gets an Obama Boost in NV
Demand for an outsider and vast support for a ban on Muslims entering the country helped Donald Trump to victory in the South Carolina Republican primary. He was pulled back, all the same, by values voters and strong conservatives – setting the stage for epic battles ahead. Hillary Clinton, for […] Read more »