Democrats Have Gotten More Liberal Since 2008, But Not Enough To Nominate Sanders

Bernie Sanders’s campaign has had far more success than most people (including this guy) thought it would. He has gone from a virtually unknown Vermont senator to winning a little more than 40 percent of the national Democratic primary vote. He will probably fall short of the nomination in the […] Read more »

Who agrees with Bernie Sanders on Israel? Large numbers of Americans.

Rarely — if ever — has a presidential candidate been so publicly critical of Israeli policy toward the Palestinians as Sen. Bernie Sanders was last week during the CNN Democratic primary debate in Brooklyn. … Some writers have pitched this as a “watershed moment” in Democratic Party politics. For the […] Read more »

Model Shows Clinton as Favorite in Most of Tuesday’s Primaries

Based on a slightly revised version of a model I created in advance of the March 15 Democratic primaries, Hillary Clinton appears to be a solid favorite in Delaware, Maryland, and Pennsylvania, as well as a marginal favorite in Connecticut. Meanwhile, Bernie Sanders appears to be a favorite in Rhode […] Read more »

America’s Voice/Latino Decisions 2016 Tracking Poll

Earlier today, America’s Voice and Latino Decisions released the first of three waves of national polling of the Latino electorate … The survey was designed to measure how immigration policy and politics are shaping the views of Latino voters as the 2016 election approaches. … Consistent with the broader perceptions […] Read more »