A new national poll of America’s 18- to 29-year-olds by Harvard’s Institute of Politics (IOP), located at the John F. Kennedy School of Government, finds Hillary Clinton the clear front-runner over Donald Trump to win the White House in 2016. Among likely voters, Clinton has 61% of young voters and […] Read more »
Trump, Clinton face divides in their parties even if they win nominations
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton expect to strengthen their claims on the presidential nominations in Tuesday’s primaries, but a new USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll underscores the serious challenges they face to heal divisions within their own parties. CONT. Susan Page & Jenny Ung, USA Today Read more »
The Deep Grooves of 2016
In the 2016 presidential campaign, the first cut has indeed been the deepest. An examination of the 22 state exit polls conducted so far by a consortium of media organizations indicates that the patterns of voter allegiance that emerged during the very first contests in February have largely persisted since. […] Read more »
Democrats’ Divisions Will Need Healing, Too
… It’s hard to see how the Clinton forces can accommodate Sanders’s demands for breaking up the big banks, free college tuition and staying out of Syria. Yet if she is the Democratic nominee, she’ll need the Sanders followers in the autumn. She would be making a mistake to take […] Read more »
Election markets: A big upward swing for Trump, a consolidation of a commanding lead for Clinton
PredictWise’s market-based forecasts have Donald Trump 76% to be the Republican nominee for president of the United States of America, Hillary Clinton is 96% to be the Democratic nominee for president of the United States of America, and the Democratic nominee for president is 74% to win the general election. […] Read more »
Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton lead in Pennsylvania, Indiana
Donald Trump heads into Tuesday’s slate of primaries maintaining his large lead in Pennsylvania, and has a lead in Indiana, which holds its primary the following week. Together this would keep Trump on a path to securing the nomination: If he does manage to win the bulk of delegates in […] Read more »