… Fewer than half of any candidate’s supporters are aware that virtually all climate scientists have concluded human-caused global warming is happening. However, supporters of the Democratic candidates are the most likely to think at least 90% of climate scientists are convinced (Sanders: 38%, Clinton: 27%). Far fewer supporters of […] Read more »
Americans’ Distaste For Both Trump And Clinton Is Record-Breaking
… So let’s look at Trump and Clinton’s “strongly favorable” and “strongly unfavorable” ratings among general election voters. These are people who don’t just like or dislike the candidates, they really like or dislike them. No past candidate comes close to Clinton, and especially Trump, in terms of engendering strong […] Read more »
Two Unique – and Unpopular – Presidential Candidates
Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump have been in the public eye for most of their adult lives. In that time, the American people have formed pretty definitive opinions about each – with the consensus turning toward the negative. According to the NBC/WSJ Survey, both presumptive nominees head into the general […] Read more »
The Republican Party’s Woman Problem
It’s entirely possible that for all the talk about the gender gap, Donald Trump could prove more competitive among white women against Hillary Clinton than it appears today. But Trump faces at least as much risk that white women could seal his doom in the general election match-up against Clinton […] Read more »
New Electoral Scorecard Ratings in 13 States
This has been an exceedingly unpredictable year. Although we remain convinced that Hillary Clinton is very vulnerable and would probably lose to most other Republicans, Donald Trump’s historic unpopularity with wide swaths of the electorate – women, millennials, independents and Latinos – make him the initial November underdog. As a […] Read more »
Trump, Hillary and the Battle for Women and White Voters
Talk to most Republican strategists these days and their views of GOP prospects for 2016 range from depressed to despondent. Democrats, however, are far from giddy. Their opinion of the 2016 Clinton versus Trump match-up ranges from cautiously optimistic to nervously confident. Both sides concede that a race between two […] Read more »