In recent days, two sets of very smart people have disputed the nature and meaning of current polls. Rather than get myself in trouble by wading directly into the conflict, I’ll confine myself to offering a few thoughts on some of the issues that have been raised. CONT. Mark Mellman […] Read more »
Luntz: The Least Un-Trustworthy Presidential Candidate Will Win
After conducting polls in seven swing states, pollster Frank Luntz says that winning the presidential election will come down to which candidate can show they’re the most honest and trustworthy. Fox News Watch the latest video at video.foxnews.com Read more »
Explaining Hillary Clinton’s Lost Ground in the Polls
A month ago, Hillary Clinton had a big lead in national and battleground state polls. Today, she has a modest lead at best. A few surveys even show Donald Trump ahead. What happened? Mr. Trump has made gains in unifying his party’s base, while Mrs. Clinton has not done the […] Read more »
Anti-Trump vs. Anti-Clinton Voters
Now that we know what the general-election matchups will be, a couple of thoughts are in order. First, while I give Hillary Clinton a 75 percent chance of beating Donald Trump in November, the possibility that it will be a pretty close race is high and rising. Clinton’s negatives are […] Read more »
Hillary Clinton Maintains Image Advantage Over Donald Trump
Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton continues to have an image advantage over presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump among the general American population. So far this month, 40% of Americans hold a favorable view of Clinton, while 54% have an unfavorable opinion, resulting in a net favorable rating of -14. For Trump, […] Read more »
When Elections Aren’t About the Economy
The boring economy seems to be making this presidential race even more exciting. And uncertain. The economy has reliably been one of the most important factors influencing a presidential election. A strong economy helps to keep the party in power in power. A weak economy tends to cause voters to […] Read more »