The Moody’s Analytics election model is updated to reflect the June economic forecast, and the results have changed little from previous months. … The election model bases its forecast on a two-year change of the economic variables, from the third quarter of 2014 to the third quarter of 2016. CONT. […] Read more »
Americans’ Reactions to Trump, Clinton Explain Poor Images
Americans’ initial reactions to Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are largely negative, which helps explain their negative images. When Americans are asked what comes to mind when they think of Clinton, many say they don’t trust her (27%), don’t like her (13%) and that she is a criminal or corrupt […] Read more »
Can Hillary Clinton convince voters that she’s honest and trustworthy?
From Whitewater to Benghazi and her secret speeches to Wall Streeters, Hillary Clinton has a trust problem, polls find. She admitted Monday that she has to do more to change the perception. Political director Lisa Desjardins reports and Judy Woodruff talks with Anne Gearan of The Washington Post; Peter D. […] Read more »
Trump Leads Clinton in Historically Bad Image Ratings
Trump and Clinton are currently among the worst-rated presidential candidates of the last seven decades according to Gallup’s long-term “scalometer” trend. In the race to the bottom, however, Trump’s 42% highly unfavorable score easily outpaces Clinton’s 33%. Prior to now, 1964 Republican nominee Barry Goldwater had the highest negative score, […] Read more »
Politics and Polls: Goldwater, Brexit, and The Party Decides
In 1964, Lyndon B. Johnson crushed Barry Goldwater in the presidential election. Could we see another landslide like this in 2016? Or does today’s political environment make that impossible? Tune in to the first episode of “Politics and Polls” as Professors Julian E. Zelizer and Sam Wang debate this issue […] Read more »
Culture Is Replacing Class as the Key Political Divide
When United Kingdom voters last week narrowly approved a referendum to leave the European Union, they underscored again how an era of unrelenting economic and demographic change is shifting the axis of politics across much of the industrialized world from class to culture. … Both geographically and demographically, the British […] Read more »