Donald Trump’s missteps since the conventions have put Hillary Clinton in a dominant position. If the election were held today, according to the latest NPR analysis of polling, demographics and on-the-ground reporting, Clinton would win in a landslide of 2008 proportions. CONT. Domenico Montanaro, NPR Read more »
Clinton Surges Past 270 Electoral Votes in NBC News Battleground Map
After releasing our seven battleground-state polls last week — and seeing several other state surveys — we’ve updated our NBC battleground map. The states in Hillary Clinton’s column now add up to 288 electoral votes, which exceeds the 270 needed to win the presidency. CONT. Chuck Todd, Mark Murray & […] Read more »
Asking Too Much of Democracy
The 2016 election cycle has confounded a good deal of scholarship and punditry so far. But one book that’s coming out smelling like a rose is Christopher Achen and Larry Bartels’ new book Democracy for Realists: Why Elections Do Not Produce Responsive Government. This book’s novel argument is that we’ve […] Read more »
The State of the Clinton-Trump Race: Is It Over?
It has been three weeks since Democrats gathered for their convention, and Hillary Clinton still holds a large and consistent lead in national and battleground state polls. Her national lead over Donald J. Trump of seven to eight percentage points could slip a bit over the next few weeks. But […] Read more »
New August Electoral College Ratings
The two major party conventions are now behind us and the consequent bounces have had time to settle giving us a presidential race that isn’t over, but one that is fully developed. Many observers have noted that in the last six decades of modern presidential polling, the candidate with the […] Read more »
Police violence a rising concern for Millennials, new poll shows
In the wake of highly publicized incidents of police shootings of African Americans this year, members of the Millennial generation increasingly identify police brutality and criminal-justice reform as a top priority for the next president. CONT. Susan Page & Fernanda Crescente, USA Today Read more »