Hillary Clinton’s unpopularity reached a new high in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, putting her on par with Donald Trump among registered voters. The latest findings solidify their positions as the two most unpopular presidential candidates in polling dating back more than 30 years. CONT. Gregory Holyk & Gary […] Read more »
How race and identity became the central dividing line in American politics
In 2016, race and identity has emerged as the central dividing line in American politics. Though race has always lived close to the surface of politics in the US, it has rarely been so explicitly front and center in political campaigns. So how did this happen? The easy answer is […] Read more »
For Milwaukee Focus Group, Hillary Clinton Doesn’t Appeal But Donald Trump Is Too Risky
If you look at the latest surveys and listen to David Plouffe, who thinks the presidential election is “likely going to be a landslide,” you might think this race is settled. … The problem with this analysis is that the 2016 electorate is unlike those that produced the landslides of […] Read more »
Why Trump’s Immigration Switch Won’t Move the Needle
The topic du jour is Donald Trump’s attempted walk-back of his position on immigration—roughly speaking, from an absolutist policy to one that’s merely tough. The operative question is whether he can strike a balance, enticing into his column the undecided voters that he previously alienated with his “send ‘em all […] Read more »
Trump said he could put several blue states in play. It’s clear he can’t.
For months, Donald Trump and members of his political team promised to put reliably Democratic states like New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and Oregon into play. But now, with only two months until Election Day, it’s clear that those promises were empty boasts. The presidential electoral map shows Trump losing […] Read more »
How Much Is Donald Trump Hurting the G.O.P.? Here’s a Way to See
There is no reason to speculate about whether nominating Donald J. Trump has cost the Republican Party support in this presidential election. There is plenty of data to demonstrate that it has. CONT. Lynn Vavreck (UCLA), New York Times Read more »