President Donald Trump has a likeability problem. Four years ago, Trump won election with the lowest favorability for a major party presidential candidate in the polling era. He did so because he won the overwhelming plurality of voters who both disliked Hillary Clinton, the second least liked candidate of all […] Read more »
Is Biden Gaining Older Voters, and Losing Young Ones?
After impeachment, a coronavirus pandemic and four years of tweets, the early national polls show that the 2020 presidential campaign begins almost exactly where it left off in 2016. … But not everything is exactly the same, and even modest differences have the potential to alter the race. Mr. Biden […] Read more »
Joe Biden has a young voter problem
Former Vice President Joe Biden welcomed endorsements this week from his former 2020 rival Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and former President Barack Obama. After all, Biden needs all the help he can get with a group of voters that Sanders and Obama are popular among: young voters. Biden, at this […] Read more »
The one normal thing about the 2020 campaign
… The 2016 campaign was known for having the two least liked major party candidates of all time. That seems unlikely to repeat itself. Indeed, while the 2020 campaign is likely to be one of the strangest campaigns in recent American history, the popularity of the two men who will […] Read more »
The primary difference
Juxtaposing the 2016 and 2020 Democratic primaries creates something like an experiment. Two different candidates, Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden, faced the same opponent, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), in many of the same states, with the same potential electorate. Yet the results were quite different. Biden did far better than […] Read more »
2020 is shaping up to be all about Trump
President Donald Trump has dominated the airwaves during the coronavirus pandemic. Meanwhile, former Vice President Joe Biden, the frontrunner in the Democratic primary, has struggled to break through, which some see as a problem for his campaign. But I disagree. As Trump campaign manager Brad Parscale notes, they don’t want […] Read more »