Terry McAuliffe’s campaign strategy in the Virginia governor’s race has been to relentlessly link his opponent, businessman Glenn Youngkin, to former President Trump. … To borrow a line from President Biden, McAuliffe only needs three words to make a sentence: a noun, a verb, and Donald Trump. The strategy to […] Read more »
Virginia’s gubernatorial race tests the fear-of-Trump factor as a political motivator
… No single election ever answers all the questions of the moment in politics, but fairly or not, the Nov. 2 Virginia contest has taken on outsize importance, particularly to nervous Democrats who are justifiably fearful about losing their congressional majorities in the 2022 midterms. It’s as if the future […] Read more »
Why Biden is flailing
President Joe Biden’s popularity is at the lowest point of his administration. He’s averaging about a 43% approval rating, with recently released polls from Gallup (42%) and Grinnell College (37%) coming in even lower. While the causes of Biden’s decline are numerous (e.g. declining trust of his handling of the […] Read more »
If Democrats win in Virginia, they should thank Donald Trump
President Joe Biden is not a popular politician at this point in his presidency. This is even true in Virginia, a state he won by 10 points last year, where his net approval rating (approval – disapproval) is under water. Yet in Virginia, and even nationally on the generic congressional […] Read more »
The California Recall: Looking Under the Hood as Vote Count Finalized
Key Points• The vote count in California is finally done, and there were some noticeable trends in the results.• While the recall election largely lined up with the 2018 gubernatorial result, some notable changes are evident when comparing last month’s vote to other recent statewide races.• That the Democrats performed […] Read more »
New York State: Democrats Give Hochul Early Double-Digit Lead
As New Yorkers learn more about their new governor and Democrats look ahead to a June gubernatorial primary, Governor Kathy Hochul leads her closest opponent by between 14 and 19 points in three potential primary scenarios, according to a new Siena College poll of registered New York State voters. … […] Read more »