This may be Democrats’ only chance to blunt a red wave in November

To avoid the worst-case scenario in November, Democrats must defy one of the most powerful trends shaping modern congressional elections. Recent polls have provided them a glimmer of optimism that they might do just that. That trend is the tightening correlation between voters’ attitudes toward a president and their support […] Read more »

As Latino voters shift right, here’s where Democrats will be hit hardest

The Democrats have a Latino voter problem. The remarkable recent shift of Latino voters toward the Republican Party has been broad and significant, though the full story — will it prove “transitory,” to use a word infamously associated with President Biden’s struggles? — is still developing. … So if Democrats […] Read more »

The Glaring Contradiction of Republicans’ Rhetoric of Freedom

For decades Republicans have marketed themselves as the party of freedom. During the 1990s and early 2000s, conservative activists took up the description of the GOP coined by the anti-tax activist Grover Norquist as the “leave us alone” coalition, so named because it consisted of voters whose stated aspiration was […] Read more »

Texas: Majority oppose banning abortion; Gov. Greg Abbott leads Beto O’Rourke by 6 points

A new University of Texas/Texas Politics Project Poll finds 15% of Texans expressing support for a complete ban on abortion access in polling conducted primarily in the week prior to the U.S. Supreme Court’s announcement of its landmark opinion overturning Roe v. Wade. While 37% of Texas voters say that […] Read more »

Why Republicans should be nervous about their candidates for governor

Thanks to the Supreme Court, the battle for control of the House and Senate isn’t the only major story in this year’s midterm elections. Now there is renewed focus on the states, where a handful of gubernatorial races could change the balance of power between the parties and determine the […] Read more »

Big majority of Texans say law enforcement could have done more to stop Uvalde mass shooting

A month after the school shooting in Uvalde, Texans are overwhelmingly critical of law enforcement’s response to the shooting, and a majority feel it’s important to investigate their response. Most Texans are concerned about another mass shooting. Texans rate Gov. Abbott’s response to Uvalde more negatively than positively. … Texans […] Read more »