Stands on social issues tear at the two main conservative bases

The ideological rifts breaking apart the Republican Party have moved into the states, where business leaders and evangelicals who have long coexisted in the GOP are suddenly at war over social issues such as gay rights and religious freedom. … Rather than unifying around a message and strategy to win […] Read more »

No Love for Christie After Trump Endorsement

Governor Christie’s surprise move to endorse Donald Trump, thereby rebuking his closest rival Senator Marco Rubio, did nothing to address his sagging job performance numbers. According to the most recent statewide survey of registered voters from Fairleigh Dickinson University’s PublicMind, the Trump endorsement hurt rather than helped Governor Christie. CONT. […] Read more »

Trump Did Not Break Politics

Politics, we’re often told, is governed by rules — basic principles that explain not just what’s going to happen, but what rational candidates and parties can be expected to do. … Mr. Trump is not the first to test the basic assumptions about how politics works and how we predict […] Read more »

Obama and Walker: four years of Wisconsin polling — and polarization

When the Marquette University Law School launched its massive statewide polling project four years ago, Wisconsin voters were split straight down the middle over President Barack Obama: 47% approved and 47% disapproved. Thirty polls later, little has changed. … Wisconsin could hardly be more polarized along party lines over its […] Read more »