Here’s a good rule about vice-presidential selections: Even when they matter, they usually don’t matter much. Donald J. Trump’s newly selected running make, Mike Pence, the governor of Indiana, seems even less likely to affect the result than most. He’s a relatively safe choice: an experienced but relatively unknown politician […] Read more »
Indiana Governor Mike Pence is unknown to most voters nationwide
Indiana Governor Mike Pence, Donald Trump’s choice for his running mate, is virtually unknown to most voters nationwide. Eighty-six percent of voters are undecided or don’t know enough about him to have an opinion. CONT. CBS News Read more »
How Low Can the G.O.P. Go?
As Donald Trump’s campaign continues to spiral, a crucial question arises: How much collateral damage could he inflict on the Republican Party? If recent patterns in straight-ticket voting hold and Trump’s campaign continues to falter, Trump could carry a host of Republican down-ballot candidates with him to defeat. CONT. Thomas […] Read more »
Republicans Need to Focus on Down-Ballot Candidates
The range of emotions for most Republicans I know—from present and former members of Congress, to Hill staff, to lobbyists and campaign consultants, to state and local politicians—runs from deep concern to total despair. Their arch nemesis, Hillary Clinton, has extremely high negatives and all sorts of political vulnerabilities. But […] Read more »
It’s Close in California: Clinton 49%, Sanders 47%
Hillary Clinton is clinging to a narrow two-point lead over Bernie Sanders in California ahead of the state’s June 7 primary, according to results from a brand-new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll. CONT. Mark Murray, NBC News Read more »
Senate/Governor 2016: Several Ratings Move Toward Democrats
… Assuming the GOP nominee for the White House is either Trump or Ted Cruz, we think the Democrats will fare reasonably well down-ballot (more so with Trump than Cruz, though Cruz will also have a difficult time carrying many swing states). As shown in Chart 1, in recent presidential […] Read more »