Arizona: Mark Kelly has edge in Senate race that hinges on abortion, economy, immigration

Arizona is another battleground where strong opposing forces underpin the race. Democratic candidates enjoy stronger personal ratings, while Republican voters are thinking more about national Senate control. There’s a tough economy and desire for tougher border controls helping Republicans, versus abortion helping Democrats. And in this state that was so […] Read more »

California: Both sports wagering initiatives trail, while Newsom maintains a comfortable lead

The latest Berkeley IGS Poll of Californians considered likely to vote in the November general election finds the two sports wagering initiatives, Propositions 26 and 27, trailing by significant margins six weeks before the election. The poll finds Proposition 27, the initiative to allow online sports wagering, trailing two-to-one (53% […] Read more »

Ticket-splitting voters were going extinct. Now they may decide 2022’s biggest races.

Ticket-splitters are back, and they’re playing a starring role in the chaotic 2022 campaign. In battleground states from Georgia to New Hampshire to Ohio, a potentially decisive slice of voters tell pollsters they’re supporting a Democrat for one high-profile office and a Republican for another. Nowhere is the dynamic clearer […] Read more »

Alaska’s Special House Race Stunned America. Here’s What November Could Bring.

… As more and more jurisdictions consider ranked choice voting — and as the discussion over how to temper political polarization nationwide remains unresolved — many political observers have wondered whether Alaska is a state that might point the way to a more moderate, more nuanced way of doing politics. […] Read more »

Maryland: Wes Moore leads Dan Cox in Gov. race by 2-to-1 margin, Post-UMD poll finds

Maryland Democrat and political newcomer Wes Moore holds a 32-percentage-point lead over Donald Trump-aligned Republican Dan Cox in the governor’s race five weeks before Election Day, a Washington Post-University of Maryland poll finds. Moore, a veteran and best-selling author, appears to have consolidated support among the Democrats who make up […] Read more »