Only one point separates Republican J.D. Vance and Democrat Tim Ryan in the race for U.S. Senate in Ohio among registered voters. The two are tied among those who say they will definitely vote in November’s election. The Republicans are well-positioned, though, to retain the Ohio statehouse. Republican Governor Mike […] Read more »
Democrats want you thinking about abortion in the voting booth
Democrats are redoubling their efforts to keep abortion as a top issue in the midterms, as Republicans see signs voters may be shifting to concerns about the economy and crime in the home stretch. … Polls have consistently shown Democrats with an advantage over Republicans on abortion. But there have […] Read more »
Upset Alert: Where to look out for surprising results; rating changes in Senate, House, and gubernatorial races
Key Points• As we approach Election Day, the basic fundamentals of this midterm may be reasserting themselves, to the benefit of Republicans.• That said, there are also a lot of contradictory signs.• We are highlighting a number of deep sleeper potential upsets in today’s issue, ranging from Senate races in […] Read more »
How Wisconsin became ground zero for American polarization
The shifts that have remade American politics in recent years can be seen and felt everywhere, but maybe no state tells the story as clearly as Wisconsin. This fall, the state features two elections that are going down to the wire — races for governor and senator — and if […] Read more »
New York State: Hochul Leading Zeldin in Governor’s Contest
New York’s Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul leads her Republican opponent Lee Zeldin by 10 percentage points among New York’s electorate. Her lead narrows to 8 points among those who say they will definitely vote. In New York’s race for U.S. Senate, Democratic incumbent Chuck Schumer has a commanding double-digit lead, […] Read more »
Wisconsin: Johnson leads Barnes in Senate race, Evers and Michels in a gubernatorial toss-up
A new Marquette Law School Poll survey of Wisconsin finds a wider margin in the U.S. Senate race than a month ago. Among likely voters, Sen. Ron Johnson is supported by 52% and Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes is the choice of 46%. In September, among likely voters, Johnson received 49% […] Read more »