Joe Biden holds a slight 4-point lead over President Donald Trump in the battleground of Florida, fueled by his standing among seniors and independents, according to the final NBC News/Marist poll of the state before Tuesday’s presidential election. Biden is supported by 51 percent of likely voters, while Trump gets […] Read more »
Beaver County, Miami-Dade tight for Trump days before election
As the 2020 campaign nears the final turn, journalists and analysts will be watching some places, like those that seem more likely to swing or hold important demographic groups, more closely than others for clues on how the vote may be unfolding. This week the Data Download takes a deep […] Read more »
Trump-Biden race is tight in Florida, Georgia and North Carolina
In the final stretch of the campaign, we find three Southern battlegrounds that could still go either way. Our estimates show Joe Biden with just a two-point edge over President Trump in Florida, Biden up four points in North Carolina, and the contest even in Georgia. … Biden leads among […] Read more »
CNN Polls: Biden holds double-digit lead in Pennsylvania, while Florida is tight
Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a lead in Pennsylvania and neither he nor President Donald Trump leads in the critical state of Florida, according to new CNN polls conducted by SSRS. The polls, which completed fielding two weeks before Election Day, find sizable minorities of voters saying they have […] Read more »
Poll Finds Voters in Two Crucial States Repelled by Trump’s Debate Behavior
By overwhelming margins, voters in Pennsylvania and Florida were repelled by President Trump’s conduct in the first general election debate, according to New York Times/Siena College surveys, as Joseph R. Biden Jr. maintained a lead in the two largest battleground states. Over all, Mr. Biden led by seven percentage points, […] Read more »
Most Cuban American voters identify as Republican in 2020
Unlike other Hispanic registered voters in the United States, most Cuban Americans identify as Republican – a pattern that could have electoral implications as President Donald Trump seeks to recapture the important swing state of Florida this year. Nationwide, 58% of Cuban registered voters say they affiliate with or lean […] Read more »