Even if former Sen. George LeMieux hadn’t unexpectedly dropped out of the U.S. Senate race Wednesday, Rep. Connie Mack was the Republicans’ de facto nominee anyway. That’s how it looked from a Democratic-leaning mystery poll that coincided with LeMieux’s withdrawal. Less than 20 minutes after Lemieux quit, an outfit that […] Read more »
Obama leads Romney among Latinos in key battleground states
New polling released June 22, 2012 by Latino Decisions and America’s Voice finds President Obama maintaining a wide lead over Republican Mitt Romney among Latino registered voters in five key battleground states. The poll interviewed 400 Latinos each in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Nevada and Virginia – all states expected to […] Read more »
Florida: Herald’s Caputo dives deep on diverging polls
Voters here have reason to be confused this week as they look at two polls, coming out one day apart, with one showing Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney in the state and the other showing Romney leading Obama. … The Miami Herald’s Marc Caputo did a commendable job of exploring […] Read more »
Party Identification in Florida Polling
Yesterday’s Quinnipiac University Poll on the presidential race in Florida was criticized by Democratic consultant Steve Schale for the partisan and racial composition of its sample. … The biggest problem with this analysis is that Schale got the Quinnipiac numbers wrong! [ cont. ] Douglas Schwartz, Quinnipiac University Poll Read more »