Democrats spent Wednesday trying to explain away a disappointing loss in a Florida special congressional election that they had been expected to win. … Already facing a difficult task in reclaiming the House majority, some Democrats said the loss in a district that President Obama won twice should serve as […] Read more »
Health Law Tied to G.O.P. Victory in Florida Race
For Democrats hoping to claim a prized House seat in a swing district, Alex Sink seemed a shining candidate: a moderate, business-minded banker and former candidate for governor with ample experience in running a big race and raising money for it. But in the end, Tuesday’s special election showed that […] Read more »
What FL-13 Could Mean For Democrats
Democrats haven’t had a week this bad since 2010 and its only Wednesday. While the headlines are focused on Democrats losing the special election in Florida’s 13th Congressional district, even worse news came in the form of an NBC News/Wall Street Journal national poll released last night, along with four […] Read more »
Midterm Falloff By the Numbers
One thing that the FL-13 special election results should encourage everyone to do is to get very serious about the phenomenon I write about metronomically here: the “midterm falloff problem” for Democrats. We don’t have exit polls for FL-13, so we can’t figure out exactly who turned out and who […] Read more »
Stan Greenberg: Fight harder on economic issues, Dems
Veteran Dem pollster Stan Greenberg has long taken the lead in advocating that embattled Dems hew to a “keep and fix” strategy in response to GOP attacks on Obamacare. In an interview with me this morning, he said he saw nothing in the results out of Florida’s 13th district — […] Read more »
The Impact of the Affordable Care Act in the Florida 13th Special Election
From the very start of this election, the biggest challenge facing Alex Sink in the FL-13 special election was the significant party registration advantage for the Republicans among likely voters. The samples for our polls always projected an electorate that would be 11 points more Republican than Democratic – a […] Read more »