Quadrennial battlegrounds Ohio and Florida start off as close races as the general election looms, helping describe a 2016 presidential race that looks to be very competitive. Even as partisans appear to be coming into line behind their parties’ likely nominees in these battleground states, many seem to be doing […] Read more »
Clinton v. Trump: Swing state tie obscures deeper divisions
The election is nearly six months from now. And yes, it’s risky to place too much weight on any one poll. But the just-released Quinnipiac survey of three key swing states—Florida, Pennsylvania, and Ohio—challenges complacent assumptions and suggests that the election will be closely contested. CONT. William A. Galston, Brookings […] Read more »
Inside the Poll Numbers: How Close Are Trump and Clinton?
J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., discusses Quinnipiac University polls in the swing states of Florida, Pennsylvania and Ohio that show a tight race between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump on “With All Due Respect.” Bloomberg Politics Read more »
No, the Battleground States Are Not a Terrific Fit for Donald Trump
Polls from Quinnipiac University this morning showed very close races between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, Florida and Ohio. (He leads her by four percentage points in Ohio.) Nate Cohn, The Upshot’s politics analyst, and Toni Monkovic, an Upshot editor, discussed the polls and other battleground states in […] Read more »
Clinton trounces Trump in Miami-Dade, new poll shows
Hillary Clinton is so much more popular than Donald Trump among Miami-Dade County voters that even a significant number of Republicans support her in the likely presidential match-up, a new local poll has found. Clinton leads Trump by a whopping 52-25 percent, with 23 percent of respondents undecided, according to […] Read more »
2016 Latino Voters in Colorado, Florida, and Nevada
… While national data are helpful for understanding the broad contours of how immigration politics and policy are likely to matter next November, the uneven distribution of Latino voters across the states means that these effects can be either more-or-less pronounced depending upon the size of the Latino electorate and […] Read more »