Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum didn’t seem to have a prayer of winning last week’s Democratic gubernatorial primary in Florida. Gillum’s opponents spent nearly 15 times as much as he did, and late polls had him trailing badly. But Gillum spent much of his campaign war chest on the hottest outreach […] Read more »
Poll Hub: Arizona & Florida: Breaking Down the Primary Results
That’s a wrap! The Poll Hub team breaks down Tuesday’s midterm election primaries in Arizona and Florida. Was Martha McSally’s win in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate in Arizona really a slam dunk? And surprise! Andrew Gillum won the Democratic primary for Florida governor. What happened? Plus the Poll […] Read more »
A Labor Day Status Report
We’ve been starting Crystal Ball pieces with a few “key points” summing up the article. As we head into Labor Day weekend and the start of the sprint to Election Day, we thought we’d do something different. Instead of key points from this article, here are some key points about […] Read more »
Democratic Embrace of Diverse Candidates Collides With Barbed Politics of Trump Era
Democratic nominees for governor include three African-Americans, two of them in the old Confederacy, a prospect that not long ago would have been unthinkable. Record numbers of women are competing in congressional races. Elsewhere, Muslims, gays, lesbians and transgender people will be on the ballot for high-profile offices. That diverse […] Read more »
What Andrew Gillum vs Ron DeSantis in Florida will tell us about 2020
The governor’s race in Florida not only says a lot about where the Democratic and Republican parties are today but could also tell us where they are headed in the future. Republican Ron DeSantis is the Donald Trump of the 2018 Florida gubernatorial campaign. He was backed by Trump in […] Read more »
Arizona and Florida show how tough the Senate map is for Democrats
If Democrats are going to have a realistic shot of winning the Senate, they will have to win the races in two of the states with primaries on Tuesday: Arizona and Florida. If they lose either one, their chance to win the Senate goes down precipitously. Democrats have an uphill […] Read more »