If the presidential election were held today, polls in crucial swing states like Florida, Michigan and Pennsylvania suggest that Joseph R. Biden Jr. would be in position for a narrow victory. The disquieting news for Democrats is that at the same point in 2016, Hillary Clinton was in a better […] Read more »
Trump’s standing in battleground states may be slipping
President Donald Trump’s path to reelection was always going to hinge on his performance in a handful of swing states. That path looks more perilous for the President in a series of recent high-quality polls. CONT. Harry Enten, CNN Read more »
Fox News Poll: Biden and Trump in tight race in Florida
Florida voters narrowly prefer presumed Democratic nominee Joe Biden over Donald Trump in the presidential race, as a majority says the White House was too slow in responding to the coronavirus outbreak. … Overall, 59 percent of Florida voters approve of the job Republican Ron DeSantis is doing as governor, […] Read more »
Why Florida may have a big role in 2020
The story of the 2016 election has often been told like this: “Donald Trump secured victory by breaking through the big blue wall in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.” It’s how you end up with all those stories about Trump voters in Midwest diners. Heading into 2020, there’s still a lot […] Read more »
The Two States Where Trump’s COVID-19 Response Could Backfire in 2020
A handful of swing states will almost certainly decide the winner of November’s presidential election. And in two of them, Michigan and Florida, Donald Trump’s complicated relationship with their governors could expose him to greater political risk as the economic and social price of the coronavirus pandemic mounts. Trump faces […] Read more »
States of Play: Battleground Voters Growing Concerns on COVID-19
Change Research conducted a poll of 2,448 likely general election voters in Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin between April 2-3, 2020 on their thoughts, beliefs, experiences, and policy preferences with respect to the coronavirus crisis. Respondents were most likely to report experiencing low inventory at stores and […] Read more »