Why Biden ties with Trump in Florida, but leads in Pennsylvania

… Over the next few months, the difference between national- and state-level polls and the differences between specific states is likely to become more pronounced as voters turn their attention to the campaign and make final decisions about the two major presidential candidates. This week new NBC News/Marist polls of […] Read more »

Trump sees a boost with Latino voters. What is Biden doing about it?

Facing uproar over numbers showing President Donald Trump is making headway with Florida Latino voters, the Joe Biden campaign said it has been polling and targeting Hispanics more than any previous presidential campaigns in its race to contain Republican gains. Matt Barreto, who took a break from the Latino Decisions […] Read more »

Demographic Dive

On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, we’re digging down deep below the toplines and analyzing our new NBC News/Marist Polls of Florida and Pennsylvania. Which key demographics have experienced the most movement, and do those changes benefit President Donald Trump or Joe Biden in this year’s election? Then, Gallup […] Read more »

Electoral College Rating Changes: Florida and Nevada Shift Right

Today we are making two ratings changes in Pres. Trump’s favor, moving Florida from Lean Democrat to Toss Up, and Nevada from Likely Democrat to Lean Democrat. Biden’s Electoral College lead has narrowed to 279 to 187 for Trump. Earlier this summer, Biden held a 308 to 187 lead. CONT. […] Read more »

The 8 states where 2020 will be won or lost

Minnesota’s Iron Range. Wisconsin’s “WOW” counties. Suburban Charlotte. The city of Philadelphia. Each is a shorthand for the building blocks of victory in the swing states that will determine the presidential election. At the traditional, post-Labor Day start of the fall campaign, POLITICO is zeroing in on eight critical battlegrounds […] Read more »