Powered by enormous support from very conservative voters, Ted Cruz surged past expectations to capture a victory in the Iowa caucuses on Monday night. Cruz earned the support of 4 in 10 “very conservative” voters in the state, a group which made up 40 percent of the electorate according to […] Read more »
The two Democratic parties fight to a draw in Iowa
Two Democratic parties showed up to vote in Iowa on Monday night, and with nearly all of the delegates tallied, the result is essentially a tie. Entrance polling showed the Democratic party of Bernie Sanders is younger (he earned about six times as much support as Clinton from those under […] Read more »
Iowa Entrance Poll Results: Rubio’s Good Night
Marco Rubio didn’t win the night in Iowa, coming in third at the caucuses with 23 percent behind Donald Trump at 24 percent and Ted Cruz at 28 percent. But he certainly set his campaign on a positive trajectory as the race heads to New Hampshire. The Florida senator was […] Read more »
Polls Show Preferences and Priorities in Iowa
Senator Ted Cruz won support among white evangelical voters, conservatives and those who were seeking a candidate who shares their values. Donald J. Trump did well among first-time caucusgoers and those who want the next president to be from outside the political establishment and bring change. Senator Marco Rubio found […] Read more »
How Demographics Will Shape The 2016 Election
Republicans contend that the 2016 election will be about Americans’ desire for change after eight years of a Democratic president. Democrats hope the election will tell a different story of change: a continued march toward a more diverse electorate that is ever more hostile to the GOP’s Electoral College fortunes. […] Read more »
The AP’s Mission to Save the Exit Poll
Exit pollsters do their work in a few short days, but the information they glean dominates the political conversation for years. … But now, as more voters cast ballots early or by mail and polling those voters becomes more costly and potentially less reliable, the exit polls are getting more […] Read more »