This article examines the role of results forecasts and exit polls in BBC general election night broadcasts from 1955 to 2017. Despite the substantial role played by academics in results programmes, in devising forecasts and analysing results as they emerge, academic literature on election night broadcasts is scant. This article […] Read more »
Can the polls be trusted in 2020?
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, what can the Democratic presidential primary exit polls tell us about the general election? Larry Rosin, President of Edison Research, joins our team and shares the answer. And, can the polls be trusted in 2020? Our Poll Hub team resoundingly answers, “Yes!” Marist […] Read more »
Young People of Color Shaped Key Super Tuesday Primaries
The 2020 Democratic presidential primaries have once again shown that young people influence elections. More than half of states have now voted in the 2020 Democratic primaries, and the field has narrowed to two candidates: former Vice President Joe Biden and Senator Bernie Sanders. Biden holds a substantial delegate lead […] Read more »
Could Biden’s Weakness With Young Voters Hurt Him In The General Election?
One of the defining features of the Democratic primary has been the age divide among voters — those 45 and over have overwhelmingly backed former Vice President Joe Biden, while those under 45 have generally supported Sen. Bernie Sanders. Now that Biden is the likely Democratic nominee, many political observers […] Read more »
This one number may explain why Biden won primaries
CNN political forecaster Harry Enten looks at key numbers in the wake of the Illinois, Florida and Arizona primaries that explain how former Vice President Joe Biden is well on his way to winning the Democratic presidential nomination. CONT. CNN Read more »
AP VoteCast: Biden cuts deep into the Sanders coalition
Joe Biden cut deep into Sen. Bernie Sanders’ coalition of young, liberal and Latino voters on Tuesday, securing solid victories in Florida, Illinois and Arizona in unsettled times. The former vice president expanded his support among groups that have been propping up the Vermont senator’s struggling campaign. Biden, who has […] Read more »