The 2020 Democratic Candidates and Their Coalitions

Two topics have dominated the political dialogue this week: Bedbugs (who has them — or doesn’t — and who reacted poorly to being described as one) and one poll (Monmouth), which showed Biden’s lead in the race for Democratic nomination slipping. Needless to say, I’m not particularly interested in diving […] Read more »

Notes on the State of Politics

Key Points •  The Democratic primary race has been very stable, with the biggest exception being Elizabeth Warren’s rise to become one of the clear frontrunners. •  Donald Trump is attracting primary challengers, but his standing within the GOP remains strong. •  Sen. Johnny Isakson’s (R-GA) pending resignation expands the […] Read more »

USA TODAY/Suffolk poll: Americans dread the 2020 election; Biden maintains his lead

Americans are facing the 2020 presidential election with a dominant feeling: Dread. A nationwide USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll found a sharply divided country that views next year’s presidential campaign as a sobering test of the fundamental values of the United States. A majority of those on both sides called the […] Read more »

Favorability of Major Political Figures and Organizations in Battleground Districts

Pundits have asserted that Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s progressive agenda threatens the Democratic Party’s chances of making broad gains in the 2020 election and beyond. Unsourced polling leaked to Axios suggested that white, likely voters without college degrees view Ocasio-Cortez overwhelmingly unfavorably—a population Axios deemed crucial to the Democrats’ future as […] Read more »