Inside the next 5 months of 2020 Democratic campaign, before voters have their say

… The Democratic primary campaign, which remained remarkably stable throughout the summer, is suddenly entering a new period of uncertainty. Many voters say they are just beginning to pay close attention to the race, signaling the potential for a far more volatile campaign season this fall. Interviews with voters, campaign […] Read more »

Elizabeth Warren Narrows Joe Biden Lead Among Democrats: IBD/TIPP Poll

Joe Biden remains the Democratic front-runner, but Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren jumped to within four points of the former vice president in September’s IBD/TIPP Poll. Biden remained the surest choice in the 2020 election vs. President Donald Trump, with a 12-point advantage in a head-to-head matchup. Warren had a narrow […] Read more »

It’s now Biden, Warren, Sanders — and everyone else

The bottom is falling out of the Democratic presidential primary. And the top-tier — no longer five candidates, but three — is becoming more insurmountable. For more than a year, Democrats had approached their nominating contest with a widely-shared belief that — like Republicans in the earliest stages of their […] Read more »

Presidential hopefuls face a stubborn problem: how to bump Biden

Joe Biden’s fellow candidates have compared him to Donald Trump, dismissed him as past his sell-by date and gone public in unison with concerns about his previous positions on race, abortion and even his physically affectionate campaign style. There is little evidence that any of it has stuck. Most August […] Read more »

Labor Unions, Like Voters, Are Waiting to Pick a 2020 Favorite

… Despite years of pummeling by Republican-controlled legislatures that have sought to weaken their power, unions are still viewed by Democrats as an important constituency: A Gallup poll conducted in August found that 82 percent of Democrats approve of unions. And beyond the seal of validation endorsements afford, union members […] Read more »

What polls really tell us about the state of the presidential race

With Labor Day almost here, the traditional start of the campaign season, a raft of new polls has arrived, giving insights into which candidates have the lead but also why and what Americans think about the issues the country faces. It’s commonplace for people to say they don’t trust polls […] Read more »