Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a 10 point lead over Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders among likely Democratic presidential caucusgoers in Nevada, buoyed by an intense focus on electing a candidate who can beat President Donald Trump, according to a new poll by The Nevada […] Read more »
New Poll Shows Democratic Candidates Have Been Living in a Fantasy World
In 2018, Democratic candidates waded into hostile territory and flipped 40 House districts, many of them moderate or conservative in their makeup. In almost every instance, their formula centered on narrowing their target profile by avoiding controversial positions, and focusing obsessively on Republican weaknesses, primarily Donald Trump’s abuses of power […] Read more »
Whom Democrats like second-best depends on whom they like most
Nearly all of the candidates seeking the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination next year have one very specific thing in common: They are not going to win. That means that some large percentage of Democratic voters will, at some point, see their preferred candidates drop out and then have to decide […] Read more »
Message Morphs and the Fifth Debate
The Iowa Democratic Party Liberty and Justice (LJ) dinner is a marker in the nomination process as candidates have the opportunity to show off their organizations and message positioning. New polling suggests shifting allegiances. With just 90 days before the caucuses, the shape of the race matters more now than […] Read more »
One Year From Election, Trump Trails Biden but Leads Warren in Battlegrounds
Despite low national approval ratings and the specter of impeachment, President Trump remains highly competitive in the battleground states likeliest to decide his re-election, according to a set of new surveys from The New York Times Upshot and Siena College. Across the six closest states that went Republican in 2016, […] Read more »
Biden Retakes Lead From Warren; Both Beat Trump: IBD/TIPP
Former Vice President Joe Biden is back in front of Elizabeth Warren, the November IBD/TIPP Poll of the Democratic nomination contest finds. Biden had narrowly slipped from the top spot in October. Both candidates have solid leads over President Donald Trump in head-to-head polling, though Biden remains the Democrat best […] Read more »