Doug Sosnik is the kind of political analyst who likes to figure out the results of the next election well in advance — it’s just how he’s wired. But even Sosnik, a former adviser to President Bill Clinton who now tries to forecast elections as a hobby, is stumped about […] Read more »
Inflation Expectations Decline Across All Horizons
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Center for Microeconomic Data today released the July 2022 Survey of Consumer Expectations, which shows substantial declines in short-, medium- and longer-term inflation expectations. Expectations about year-ahead price increases for gas and food fell sharply. Home price growth expectations and year-ahead spending growth […] Read more »
Black, Native American and Latino families face serious problems from inflation
Fears of eviction. Trouble affording groceries. Unmet medical needs. A national poll — from NPR, the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation and the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health — finds those are all too common experiences for high proportions of Black, Latino and Native American adults as the U.S. […] Read more »
ABC News/Ipsos poll: Three months before midterms, Republicans hold advantage on handling the economy, crime
The Republican Party is more trusted to handle key issues like the economy, inflation, and crime, according to the latest ABC News/Ipsos poll. This pattern holds true among those who indicate they are very enthusiastic about voting in the midterms this November. However, among roughly a third of all Americans, […] Read more »
Culture wars could be a winning issue — for Democrats
The top lines for Democrats continue to be brutal heading into the November midterm elections: Voters are furious about inflation, they overwhelmingly believe the country is heading in the wrong direction, and President Biden is not at all a popular figure. But based on recent polling, the issue matrix has […] Read more »
Abortion Moves Up on “Most Important Problem” List
When Americans are asked to name the most important problem facing the U.S., 8% of the resulting mentions focus on abortion. While not high on an absolute basis, this is the highest such percentage since Gallup began tracking mentions of abortion in 1984. Additionally, another 6% of Americans name a […] Read more »