Despite the stock market having its worst month since March 2020, Americans’ confidence in the economy improved ever so slightly in September after a bigger improvement in August, but remains negative on balance. The Gallup Economic Confidence Index ticked up to -35 in September after rising to -39 in August. […] Read more »
Midterm momentum shifts back to GOP as inflation fears grow
As backlash to the end of Roe v. Wade came to dominate U.S politics this summer, poll after poll showed the tide turning in Democrats’ favor — leading many to wonder whether President Biden’s side might avoid the sort of sweeping midterm losses that typically befall the party in power. […] Read more »
Are Political Winds Blowing in Republicans’ Favor Again?
For most of the summer, President Biden and the Democrats had the political winds at their backs. They saw their poll numbers rise as gas prices fell, as the Supreme Court refocused voters on abortion, and as the Jan. 6 hearings and the investigation into Donald J. Trump’s handling of […] Read more »
U.S. Satisfaction Shows Modest Improvement
After Americans’ satisfaction with the way things are going in the U.S. dipped to near-historical lows in June and July as gas prices soared, it has now returned to where it was in April. Currently, 21% of U.S. adults say they are satisfied, an increase from 13% in both June […] Read more »
Migration declines worsen worker shortages, inflation
… In 2015 and 2016, the United States saw a net international migration gain of more than 1 million people. It dipped to about 930,000 in 2017 and dropped to just over 700,000 in 2018. By 2020, the year of the pandemic’s arrival, it was under 500,000. And last year, […] Read more »
Republican lead in House shrinks again as voters see high-stakes contest
The Republicans have a lead. But it keeps shrinking. While they’re still in a very good position to capture a House majority, that majority looks narrower today than it ever has, having ticked down for the second straight month to 223 seats in our model estimate. Republicans were at 226 […] Read more »