Humility Beat Hubris (For Now)

On November 8th, humility beat hubris. The election was not a triumph for professionals of either party who, with a few exceptions, didn’t see it coming. It is hard to claim credit for something you didn’t see. Meanwhile, voters, who generally lack hubris, quietly took a stand, particularly those in […] Read more »

How Joe Biden and the Democratic Party defied midterm history

… Midterms are supposed to be the time for the opposition party to shine. That should especially be the case when there is once-in-a-generation inflation and when the vast majority of Americans think the country is on the wrong track. Instead, Biden and the Democrats are in a position to […] Read more »

Why were the midterm elections close? Exit polls offer clues.

A set of countervailing political forces may have contributed to the closeness of this year’s midterm elections, according to the​ current results of the national exit poll conducted for CNN and other news networks by Edison Research. It remains uncertain which party will control either the Senate or the House […] Read more »

Californians and Their Economic Well-Being

Jobs and the economy are a top concern as Californians set a future course in the November election. Although job growth has been relatively strong as the state and nation recover from the COVID-19 crisis, residents are dealing with rising prices on consumer goods and high gasoline costs. Lower-income Californians […] Read more »

November 2022 Debrief: NBC News Poll

16 slides that show why tomorrow is very likely to be a great night for Republicans up and down the ballot. CONTINUED Public Opinion Strategies The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »