Biden struggles, as does his party, as most Democrats look elsewhere for 2024

With his party struggling in the midterms, his economic stewardship under fire and his overall job approval under 40%, a clear majority of Democrats in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll say the party should replace Joe Biden as its nominee for president in 2024. In the November midterm election […] Read more »

Lost Hope of Lasting Democratic Majority

Today we wish a belated and maybe not-so-Happy 20th Birthday to “The Emerging Democratic Majority,” the book that famously argued Democrats would gain an enduring advantage in a multiracial, postindustrial America. There are countless explanations for the rise of Donald Trump and the growing dysfunction of American political life. This […] Read more »

Inside the Completely Legal G.O.P. Plot to Destroy American Democracy

Imagine a legal Jan. 6. It’s bureaucratic, boring, invisible — and it might actually succeed. Johnny Harris & Michelle Cottle, New York Times The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »

Three-fifths of Republicans don’t believe Trump had secret documents at Mar-a-Lago

A new Marquette Law School national survey finds that 33% of adults say they do not believe Donald Trump had “top secret and other classified material” at his Mar-a-Lago estate this summer, while 67% believe he did have such documents. Sixty-one percent of Republicans say he did not have such […] Read more »

Georgia: Personal and national factors collide in tight Senate

It’s the personal vs. the partisan in Georgia’s Senate race, where the candidates are close in support, but voters’ rationales for supporting each of them are quite different. Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock has better favorable ratings and character measures, while GOP challenger Herschel Walker’s voters have eyes on Washington and […] Read more »

Abortion, Trump boost midterm prospects for Democrats

Democrats have pulled even with Republicans ahead of November’s midterm elections, fueled by six-in-10 voters who disapprove of the decision to overturn Roe v. Wade, by President Joe Biden’s approval rating improving to its highest mark since October and by Donald Trump’s favorability rating dropping to its lowest level in […] Read more »