Republican voters think Trump is electable. They may be right

… Just seven years ago, both Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton had unfavorable ratings north of 50%. It wasn’t the same majorities that disliked both candidates. Most voters liked at least one of them. But a sizable bloc of the electorate (18%) disliked both candidates, according to the 2016 exit […] Read more »

What to know going into the first GOP primary debate

While most Americans are yawning through the waning days of late August, the political world is buzzing with one indictment after another and now, next week, the first Republican primary debate in Milwaukee. While eight candidates have qualified for the debate, the leading one—former President Donald Trump—may not show up. […] Read more »

Fourth Trump indictment does little to change public opinion

Half of Americans believe former President Donald Trump should be charged with a crime, and the same number say the latest charges are politically motivated, according to new ABC News/Ipsos polling conducted the day after the announcement of charges in Georgia related to efforts to overturn the 2020 election results […] Read more »

Fox News Poll: Ramaswamy rising, as DeSantis loses ground in GOP primary

Former President Donald Trump maintains his large lead in the Republican presidential primary contest, as support doubles for Vivek Ramaswamy and Ron DeSantis hits a new low, according to a new Fox News national survey. Fifty-three percent of Republican primary voters prefer Trump, down a touch from 56% in June. […] Read more »

Fox News Poll: Majority thinks Trump did something illegal, yet say investigations politically motivated

In connection with efforts to overturn the 2020 election, over half of registered voters think former President Donald Trump did something illegal. That’s according to a new Fox News Poll conducted before Trump and 18 others were indicted in Georgia for alleged efforts to challenge his 2020 election defeat in […] Read more »

Who likes Donald Trump? Lots of Republicans, but especially Hispanic voters, plus very rural and very conservative people

Former President Donald Trump greets supporters following a 2020 campaign rally in Arizona. Isaac Brekken/Getty Images Jonathan Schulman, Northwestern University and Matthew A Baum, Harvard Kennedy School Despite multiple state and federal indictments, recent polling indicates that former President Donald Trump retains a commanding lead in the race for the […] Read more »