During the 2016 presidential campaign, supporters of Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton disagreed over nearly everything, including the extent to which Black adults in this country are disadvantaged because of their race and women because of their gender. Today, these differences are even wider among voters who support Trump and […] Read more »
Most Americans Worry Political Pressure Will Lead to Premature Approval of a COVID-19 Vaccine
Most Americans (62%) worry that the political pressure from the Trump administration will lead the Food and Drug Administration to rush to approve a coronavirus vaccine without making sure that it is safe and effective, the latest KFF Health Tracking Poll finds. This includes majorities of Democrats (85%) and independents […] Read more »
The Post-Labor Day Sprint, Part Two: The Electoral College
Key Points• Joe Biden is better positioned to win the presidency than Donald Trump, but it would be foolish to rule out another Trump upset.• Trump’s potential winning map would look a lot like 2016, with perhaps a few changes; Biden’s potential winning map might feature Democratic advances in the […] Read more »
Frank Luntz: Can Donald Trump win?
With just two months until the US presidential election, the polls show the incumbent Donald Trump trailing Democrat Joe Biden by a significant margin. Can he turn it around? CONT. HARDtalk, BBC The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign […] Read more »
All the ‘Rage’: Where the 2020 presidential race stands
With the two national conventions in the rearview mirror and the 2020 election less than two months away, President Donald Trump still finds himself in a deep hole and needing to change the trajectory of the presidential race. … Biden remains a clear favorite in the race. As I have […] Read more »
Joe Biden might win in a landslide. That would make things more complicated.
For weeks, the mantra of the data nerd has been that President Trump can still win reelection. The Democratic nightmare scenario — Trump loses the popular vote but again wins the electoral college — is very much still on the table. But the same statistical models that show a path […] Read more »