The worst part of any presidential debate is the post-debate spin. Fortunately, there are five simple rules, backed by historical polling data, that can give you a sense of how the first meeting between President Trump and Joe Biden might affect the race. Rule No. 1: Keep an open mind. […] Read more »
Supreme Court Vacancy Hasn’t Boosted Trump’s Support in Pennsylvania
President Trump’s aggressive drive to add a conservative justice to the Supreme Court before Election Day has not helped him in Pennsylvania, a state crucial to his re-election, where more voters prefer Joseph R. Biden Jr. to fill the vacant seat, according to a poll by New York Times and […] Read more »
How conservative Catholics became supreme on GOP’s court
President Donald Trump’s nomination of Amy Coney Barrett continues the GOP’s remarkable streak of selecting Catholic jurists for the Supreme Court and underscores the enduring impact of the alliance between conservative Catholics and evangelical Protestants, which has transformed the Republican coalition. If the Senate confirms Barrett to replace the late […] Read more »
Trump Wants to Discredit the Election. This Nerd Could Stop Him.
The Fox Corporation these days reminds me a bit of America: The elites have lost control, and partisan noise drowns out almost everything. But there are pockets where traditionalists cling to fading norms. One of those pockets is a new office on the third floor of Fox’s headquarters on the […] Read more »
A significant national lead for Biden
Two polls, two substantial Biden leads. Joe Biden has been leading by about seven points nationally for as long as this page has been on the internet, and there’s no indication that’s changing. A new Times/Siena poll Sunday found him ahead by eight points, and a new ABC News/Washington Post […] Read more »
How Trump’s base appeals have backfired
… Trump’s 2020 campaign and, indeed, his entire presidency has been about rallying the Republican base. Thanks to Trump’s messaging, the percentage of voters who see him as conservative has jumped during his presidency compared to where it was during the 2016 campaign. The problem for Trump is that in […] Read more »