… The clearest road for Mr. Trump is to hold one of the three states he snatched from Democrats in 2016 — Pennsylvania, Michigan or Wisconsin — as well as the rest of his winning electoral map, including Arizona and Florida, where Mr. Biden is now competitive. Polls indicate that […] Read more »
CNN Polls: Biden holds double-digit lead in Pennsylvania, while Florida is tight
Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a lead in Pennsylvania and neither he nor President Donald Trump leads in the critical state of Florida, according to new CNN polls conducted by SSRS. The polls, which completed fielding two weeks before Election Day, find sizable minorities of voters saying they have […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Trump gains in Ohio, Biden ahead in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin
Donald Trump holds a narrow advantage in Ohio, while voters in the three battleground states that put him over the top in 2016 prefer Joe Biden, according to Fox News statewide surveys of likely voters. Biden leads by 12 points in Michigan (52-40 percent), 5 points in Pennsylvania (50-45 percent), […] Read more »
Trump Job Rating Steady; National Satisfaction Weak but Improved
President Donald Trump’s job approval is steady at 43%, while Americans’ ratings of the state of the nation and the U.S. economy are slightly improved from September. The Sept. 30-Oct. 15 Gallup poll finds 43% of Americans approving and 55% disapproving of the job Trump is doing as president, matching […] Read more »
Why Trump’s road to 270 is narrow
President Donald Trump faces a large deficit in the polls right now. If the election were held today, he’d very likely lose. But if Trump were to pull off a surprising win, how would he do it? A look at the electoral map reveals just how narrow Trump’s possible paths […] Read more »
With Tension Draining Out of the Presidential Race, Will GOP Voters Stay Home?
The drama and uncertainty that seems to have leaked out of the presidential race has found its way into the fight for control of the U.S. Senate. If you are into either electoral politics or congressional policy, the range of possible outcomes in next month’s elections is dizzying. At one […] Read more »