President Donald Trump’s struggles in the polls have been well documented. He entered the final debate down about 10 points to former Vice President Joe Biden and trailed in key swing states. Less discussed is that Trump has hurt Republicans’ chances of holding onto Senate control and pretty much eliminated […] Read more »
Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin still hold the keys to 2020
Barely a week out from Election Day, the electoral map is a sprawling landscape, larger than predicted as the campaigns took shape a year ago. But if things are close in the end, the election is still likely to be decided by the trio of northern industrial states that broke […] Read more »
Trump’s Really Bad Bet on Older Voters
The coming generational backlash against Donald Trump may represent only the first tremor in a much larger earthquake threatening the GOP through the 2020s. Trump is eroding the Republican Party’s position with younger voters at precisely the same time as the massively diverse Millennials and Generation Z are poised to […] Read more »
Why Does Trump Win With White Men?
The term “gender gap” has a clinical sound to it, like it’s an intrinsic condition of our politics. But it did not always exist, and with each recent election cycle, it has become more extreme. If we look more closely at it, the gender gap probably deserves another name: It’s […] Read more »
Focus Group Slams Trump for No Empathy in Final Presidential Debate
… A focus group convened by Democratic pollster Stanley Greenberg showed a decisive edge for Biden in the debate, who was rewarded for his empathy compared to Trump. Greenberg surveyed 150 voters from diverse backgrounds for live dial tests commissioned by the American Federation of Teachers. As usual, Greenberg and […] Read more »
Outside the U.S., Biden is the clear favorite
In most of 24 countries surveyed, more would vote for Biden than for Trump in the U.S. presidential election and expect Biden to win it; but many are concerned about the impact of fake news. If people of 24 countries other than the United States could vote in the upcoming […] Read more »